French election 2024 live: exit poll predicts shock win for left-green alliance as far right falls to third | France

Left-green alliance takes the lead: first projections

The polls are closed in France and the first projections have been published.

France’s national assembly has 577 seats, with 289 seats needed for an absolute majority.

Here is the first projected seat distribution, from Ipsos. It shows the left in the lead, in a major shift compared to opinion polls during the campaign.

Left-green New Popular Front: 172-192 seats

Emmanuel Macron’s allies: 150-170 seats

Far right National Rally and allies: 132-152 seats

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Key events

French prime minister says he will offer resignation

Gabriel Attal, the prime minister and Macron ally, is speaking now.

He said that he will offer his resignation.

France’s Prime Minister Gabriel Attal prepares to deliver a speech following the first results of the second round of France’s legislative election at Hotel Matignon in Paris on July 7. Photograph: Ludovic Marin/AFP/Getty Images
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The secretary-general of Macron’s party Renaissance, Stéphane Séjourné, has stressed the commitment to defending republican values, including the fight against racism and anti-Semitism.

He said he’s open to working with republican parties and said that France Unbowed’s Jean-Luc Mélenchon and some of his allies cannot govern France.

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Meanwhile, there’s disappointment in the European far right, with the leader of Portugal’s far right Chega already weighing in.

Desastre para a economia, tragédia na imigração e mau no combate à corrupção. Se se confirmarem estes resultados em França é uma verdadeira derrocada para a Europa!

— André Ventura (@AndreCVentura) July 7, 2024

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‘Happy in Warsaw’: Polish prime minister reacts to French projections

Donald Tusk, the Polish prime minister, said there’s “disappointment” in Moscow and “relief” in Kyiv.

“Enough to be happy in Warsaw,” he added.

In Paris enthusiasm, in Moscow disappointment, in Kyiv relief. Enough to be happy in Warsaw.

— Donald Tusk (@donaldtusk) July 7, 2024

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The Ecologists’ Marine Tondelier is celebrating tonight’s projections.

“Tonight, social justice won. Tonight, environmental justice won. Tonight, the people won. And it’s only just started!” she said.

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Far right politician Marion Maréchal says on BFMTV said that this national assembly is not representative of what the French people think.

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François Hollande, a socialist former French president, is speaking now after having won a seat in the national assembly.

He thanked all the left parties and the people who are not left wing supporters but wanted to make the election result clear.

The result gives satisfaction but also responsibility, the former president said.

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Pollster Ifop has an interesting breakdown of projected seats by individual party.

National Rally: 120-130

Renaissance: 107-115

France Unbowed: 85-94

Socialist party: 55-65

Republicans: 60-63

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And here are the updated projections from Elabe.

Left-green New Popular Front: 178-205 seats

Macron’s allies: 157-174 seats

Far right National Front and allies: 113-148 seats

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Angelique Chrisafis

Angelique Chrisafis

Several key figures have held onto their seats tonight including the former prime minister, Élisabeth Borne, in the Calvados area and the interior minister, Gérald Darmanin, in the north.

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New Popular Front at 180-205 seats: Ifop projection

Here are updated projections from pollster Ifop.

Left-green New Popular Front: 180-205

Macron’s allies: 164-174

Far right National Front and allies: 130-145

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François Hollande, a former French president, is set to win a seat in the national assembly, according to preliminary data from the interior ministry.

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The far right National Rally’s Jordan Bardella is addressing his supporters now, after projections put his party in third place – despite leading in opinion polls during the campaign.

He thanked voters who supported the National Rally and its supporters, saying that an alliance of dishonour and dangerous alliances prevailed. These alliances are putting France in the hands of the extreme left, the far right leader said.

President of the French right-wing party National Rally Jordan Bardella delivers a speech after preliminary results of the second round of the French parliamentary elections, in Paris, France, 7 July. Photograph: Christophe Petit-Tesson/EPA
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More images from around France as voters react to the surprise projected outcome of the second round of elections.

Participants react as they listen to the announcement of the projected results of the second round of France’s legislative elections during a rally in Nantes, western France on July 7. Photograph: Loïc Venance/AFP/Getty Images
French people react after the second round of the legislative elections results in Paris, France, 7 July. Photograph: Yoan Valat/EPA
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Olivier Faure, first secretary of the French Socialist party, is now speaking to supporters.

This vote gives the New Popular Front an immense responsibility, he said.

First secretary of the French Socialist party Olivier Faure takes part in the party’s election night event. Photograph: Stéphane de Sakutin/AFP/Getty Images
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The first projections have surprised France, putting a left-green alliance in the lead despite opinion polls during the campaign indicating that the far right was set to get the most votes.

Supporters of the New Popular Front react after the second round of the legislative elections results in Paris, France, 7 July. Photograph: Yoan Valat/EPA
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The hard left France Unbowed’s Jean-Luc Mélenchon addressed supporters, declaring that Emmanuel Macron should call on the New Popular Front to govern.

Jean-Luc Mélenchon reacts after results of legislative elections Photograph: Andre Pain/EPA
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Some more projections, from Elabe:

Left-green New Popular Front: 175-205 seats

Macron’s allies: 150-175 seats

Far right National Front and allies: 115-150

🔴 Résultats législatives: le Nouveau Front populaire arrive en tête avec 175 à 205 députés

➡ Le camp présidentiel obtient entre 150 et 175 sièges et le Rassemblement national entre 115 et 150 pic.twitter.com/ZlJMkZ4Dud

— BFMTV (@BFMTV) July 7, 2024

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And here are the projections from pollster Ifop.

Like Ipsos, the Ifop projection also puts the left-green New Popular Front in first place.

Left-green New Popular Front: 180-215

Macron’s allies: 150-180

Far right National Front and allies: 120-150 seats

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