Washington Mystics vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction and Picks for July 2 2024

It’s an interconference tilt on the parquet floor as a pair of teams in search of a victory collide in the Silver State. The Washington Mystics are on the road as they make the trip west to take on the Los Angeles Sparks on Tuesday night. Washington comes in off an 88-77 home loss to Las Vegas in their previous contest Saturday afternoon, though they covered the line as a 13-point underdog. Los Angeles was beaten 92-78 on the road by Phoenix Friday night, failing to cover as a 10.5-point underdog in their previous contest. In the last 10 meetings between the teams, the Sparks own a 6-4 advantage and have won the last three meetings. That includes a 70-68 win at home in the first meeting this season on May 21.

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Washington Mystics Looking to Earn Road Win

Washington had won four of five but enters this game losers of two straight after losses to Connecticut and Las Vegas. The Mystics entered Tuesday 4-15 on the season and stand in the basement of the Eastern Conference standings, 12 games behind the Liberty for the top spot. They were 11th in the overall standings, trailing the Liberty by that same margin. Against Las Vegas, Washington was up eight after the opening quarter, led by as many as 11 in the first half and by six at halftime. The Mystics still led by two after three quarters but were outscored 21-8 in the final stanza to take the loss. Washington shot 43.1% from the field, including 11 of 24 from three-point range, and turned the ball over 14 times in the loss. Stefanie Dolson led the Mystics with 23 points and seven rebounds in the loss.

The Mystics are 10th in the league in scoring offense with an average of 79 points per contest this season. Washington comes in 12th in the league in rebounding (32 boards per game) and is 3rd in assists by handing out 21.9 dimes a night. The Mystics are 7th in the league in scoring defense by allowing an average of 82.9 points a contest. Ariel Atkins leads the way for Washington as she averages 14.4 points, 3.9 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game. Shakira Austin (11.7 points, 6.8 boards) and Brittney Sykes (11.3 points, five rebounds, 3.7 assists) are secondary scoring options. Karlie Samuelsson, Stefanie Dolson (10.6 points, 4.6 rebounds), Aaliyah Edwards, Julie Vanloo, Myisha Hines-Allen, Shatori Walker-Kimbrough, Jade Melbourne, Emily Engstler and DiDi Richards are key pieces for coach Eric Thibault. Washington is 8th in the league in field goal percentage as they shoot 42.9% from the floor as a team. The Mystics are tied for second in the league in threes per game (9.8) and stand 2nd in the league in three-point percentage (36.3%) on the year. Washington is in the middle of the pack at the charity stripe as they are eighth in the league by sinking 78.4% of their chances this season.

Sykes (foot) last played on June 11 and is expected to be out through the Olympic break. Austin (hip) hasn’t played since May 31 and has been ruled out for this contest as well. Samuelsson (hand) last was in action on June 23 and remains out here.

Los Angeles Sparks Try to Snap Skid

Los Angeles dropped their seventh straight game as they were knocked off on the road in the finale of a road trip by Phoenix Friday night. The Sparks entered Tuesday 4-14 on the season and sit fifth in the Western Conference standings, 10 games behind the Lynx for the top spot. They were 10th in the overall standings, 11.5 games behind the Liberty for the top spot in the overall standings. Against Phoenix, Los Angeles led by three after the opening quarter, by as many as seven in the second quarter and held a one-point edge at the half. Things went downhill for the Sparks from there, getting outscored 48-33 in the second half to take the loss. Los Angeles shot 46% from the floor, including 10 of 21 from three-point range, and allowed Phoenix to shoot 50.7% in the game. Dearica Hamby led the Sparks with 29 points and seven rebounds in the loss.

On the season, Los Angeles is 11th in the league in scoring offense as they average 77.9 points per game. The Sparks are 11th in rebounding (32.8 boards per game) and 7th in assists (19.7) this season. Los Angeles is 10th in scoring defense as they give up an average of 85.4 points a night. Dearica Hamby leads the team with 18.4 points plus 10.3 rebounds a game this season. Rickea Jackson (10.1 points, 3.4 boards) and Kia Nurse (9.1 points) are solid secondary scoring options. Curt Miller hopes to get more from role players like Aari McDonald, Lexie Brown, Cameron Brink, Li Yueru, Layshia Clarendon, Rae Burrell, Zia Cooke and Stephanie Talbot. Los Angeles is 9th in field goal percentage on the season as they shoot 42.7% from the field as a team on the year. The Sparks are 7th in three-pointers per game (7.3) and 6th in three-point shooting as they convert 33% from beyond the arc this season. Los Angeles is 11th in success at the charity stripe as they cash in 76.1% of their attempts on the year.

Brink (knee) suffered a torn ACL June 18 and is out for the season. Brown (Chron’s disease) last played on June 20 and is out. Azura Stevens (arm) has yet to take the floor this season but has returned to full practice and hopes to play before the Olympic break.

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Best Bets for Washington Mystics vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Full-Game Side Bet

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Both teams have had their struggles this season with each team recording just four wins on the year entering this game. Washington has won four of their last seven, even with losses in their last two, while the Sparks come in off a 0-7 road trip. The Mystics have played better of late while the Sparks have crumpled, especially after losing Brink for the season. Los Angeles struggles on both ends of the floor and they have a lack of scoring depth beyond Hamby at this point. The Mystics don’t have Austin and Sykes but Dolson has stepped up to provide another weapon alongside Atkins. Take Washington on the road seeing how Los Angeles has struggled of late.

Prediction: Washington Mystics +3.5

Full-Game Total Pick

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Washington has gone over the total in 11 of their 19 games this season. On the road, the Mystics have gone over the mark in five of their nine games and they have gone over the number in five of their last six games heading into this contest. Los Angeles has seen the under go 10-8 in their 18 games this season. The Sparks have seen the under post a 4-3 mark in their seven home games this season. Four of the last five meetings between the teams have stayed under the total, including the first matchup this season, where the teams combined for 138 points against a number of 158.5 back in May. With this being two of the three worst offenses in the league, coupled with the injury issues, look for this game to wind up under the number.

Prediction: Under 164

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