Weather Authority Alert Day issued for Tuesday and Wednesday, January 9-10, 2024

ROANOKE, Va.Monday Afternoon Update

A Flood Watch is in effect all day Tuesday, due to 1-3″ of rain coming in. That rain on a saturated soil could lead to flooding. This also pertains to some areas rivers.

A Flood Watch is in effect all day Tuesday.

Winter Weather Advisories have been issued for some higher elevations that will see a spotty wintry mix early Tuesday morning.

Winter Weather Advisories will be in effect Tuesday morning for some higher elevations.

Aside from that, heavy rain, localized flooding and high wind gusts will be the main focus throughout the rest of the day Tuesday.

This is a general timeline of when to expect the worst weather Tuesday.

Some rivers may flood as well, specifically the Roanoke and Dan Rivers.

The Roanoke and Dan Rivers will likely flood following Tuesday’s rain.

[WATCH THE RIVERS: We have links to each river’s forecast right here.]


Monday Morning Update

We will start to see impacts from a strong storm starting early Tuesday morning. This will bring a wintry mix at first, then heavy rainfall during the day. Here is a look at the flooding potential that tomorrow brings. Showers wrap up early Wednesday.

The risk for flooding has been pushed further west this morning

A wintry mix starts us off tomorrow morning and will last through about 8:00 a.m.

All types of precipitation is on the table as of now. Freezing rain could bring about some icy road conditions before the rain takes over.

A look at 4:00AM tomorrow morning

By 9:00 a.m. pockets of heavy rain are widespread across southwest Virginia.

A look at 9:00 AM tomorrow

The Severe Weather Outlook for tomorrow has been upgraded to enhanced for much of the southeast. While a marginal risk tags parts of Southside, we could see a couple of thunderstorms extend further west. With that comes the low chance of seeing severe weather.

An enhanced risk for much of the southeast

Thunderstorms will be possible in the afternoon as areas of heavy rain continue. Future tracker is showing deep pockets of orange and red around 3:00 p.m. indicating heavy downpours.

A look at 3:00PM tomorrow

Since yesterday, rainfall estimates have increased for most computer models. Widespread amounts of 1-2 inches are expected with some areas seeing 3-4 inches of rain. A couple of spots could see even more than these estimates.

Estimates have been increased in recent computer model runs

Sunday Afternoon Update

While we have calm weather through Sunday afternoon and Monday, Tuesday’s rain is heavy enough to cause flooding through our region. Rain starts early on Tuesday with some even falling as snow for a short time in the morning.

Heavy rain stretches across our region

This large low pressure system causes flooding in the deep south on Monday with the heaviest rains along the Atlantic coast on Tuesday. We are in the Level 2 risk, but some highly populated areas are at an even higher chance of flooding to our northeast.

While the heaviest rain is northeast of us, our rain is still heavy enough to cause flooding

The heaviest rain falls through the afternoon which is our best chance for flooding. Be extra careful when the sun goes down since water levels stay high. Showers dry up quickly after midnight, but high winds rush in to keep Wednesday busy.

Some snow is possible very early in the day

Most of us can expect more than an inch of rain with three inches possible from Nelson County towards Carroll County. We get a short break from rain before another, smaller system arrives late on Friday.

Our highest rain totals follow a similar pattern to ice buildup last Saturday

10 News has issued a Weather Authority Alert Day for Tuesday, January 9 and Wednesday, January 10.

Read below for more details.

We get a brief moment to catch our breath before the next storm system moves in, and this one is going to be strong (in some ways).

Late Monday night into early Tuesday morning, we expect a brief wintry mix that should mostly be confined to our higher elevations along the Blue Ridge Parkway.

Nonetheless, it’s worth watching for parts of Grayson, Carroll, Floyd and Patrick Counties (and Bent Mountain).

A brief wintry mix will be possible in parts of the area early Tuesday morning.

Beyond that, heavy rain will be likely. Most forecast data suggests rain totals of 1 to 3″ (isolated higher), which could lead to localized flooding.

Heavy rain could lead to localized flooding Tuesday afternoon and evening.

While the threat for severe thunderstorm and/or tornadoes mostly stays south of here, it’s the wind we’ll need to watch heading into Wednesday.

Gusts of 30 to 50 mph, in addition to a soggy ground, could lead to downed limbs and power outages.

Wind gusts could bring down limbs and/or power lines Wednesday.

Download our weather app here for more information on the forecast moving forward.

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